网络结构特征与链路预测算法关系研究

以美国航空网络、科学家合作网络和线虫新陈代谢网络等5种实际网络为例进行了综合实验,用结果数据定量化描述了同配系数、集聚系数和网络效率等网络结构特征参数,与基于局部信息和全局信息的两类链路预测方法结果之间的关系。通过对结果的分析,得到了网络同配系数为正且聚集系数大于阈值(约0.1)时适用基于局部信息的预测方法,否则适用基于全局信息的预测方法;以及集聚系数、网络效率与局部信息预测方法的结果成正比,与全局信息预测方法成反比等结论。这些结论为通过网络特征参数进行链路预测方法的选择提供了定量化的参考依据。     

浅谈特殊群体在中小型图书馆赢得的福音

介绍了中小型图书馆对特殊群体的优质服务,提出了中小型图书馆对特殊群体悉心服务的具体措施,指出了中小型图书馆对特殊群体服务中尚需改进的地方。     

Overreaction in Survey Exchange Rate Forecasts

We use survey data on five bilateral exchange rates to provide empirical evidence of the fact that professional forecasters of foreign exchange rates behave irrationally, in the specific sense that they respond inaccurately to available information in the market when forming their predictions. In particular, we find systematic biases in the forecasts resulting in the overreaction of analysts to past information contained in the exchange rate dynamics: forecasters change their prediction more than it would be rational on the basis of past realized changes. In addition, forecasters are heterogeneous in their irrationality: low performers in previous periods show a more pronounced overreaction effect. This can be read as an indication of perpetration of past errors and continued inability to learn from the past. In the second part of the paper, we exploit the novel structure of our dataset, which consists of survey data extracted from the Bloomberg platform and readily available to anyone. This feature allows us to consider their own and others' past forecasts as part of the information set that analysts use in making their predictions. By using past forecasts as proxies for relevant macroeconomic variables, we find evidence that analysts fail to correctly process not only the information contained in the spot rate past dynamics but also the information in this broader set. We see this as confirmation of the existence of inefficiency and heterogeneity between low and high performers also when full information is available. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

一种含有中性指标的数据包络分析方法

在应用数据包络分析方法进行评价时,要求所有指标必须具有偏好性,即所有指标必须越大越好或者越小越好.然而,当评价指标体系中含有中性(即没有偏好性)指标时,传统的数据包络分析方法则不能解决该类问题.因此,本文以经济效率与产业结构调整为背景,从系统性的角度出发提出了一种用于评价含有中性指标的数据包络分析模型.该模型不仅能给出一个经济系统的效率大小,而且还能给出该系统应如何通过产业结构调整来提高经济系统的效率.最后,应用本文提出的方法分析了天津市经济结构调整的有效性问题.     

大黄酚脂质体包封率测定方法的研究

目的建立大黄酚脂质体包封率的测定方法。方法采用低速离心法分离载药脂质体与游离的药物,采用紫外分光光度法测定大黄酚的含量,计算出包封率。结果实验结果表明,当离心条件为1 500r/min、离心时间为120s时,可将载药脂质体与游离药物有效地分离,并测得3批大黄酚脂质体的包封率分别为82.29%,83.25%和83.06%,符合2010版《中华人民共和国药典》的规定。结论该方法简便快速,准确可靠,可用于测定大黄酚脂质体的包封率。     

Can We Predict the Financial Markets Based on Google's Search Queries?

We look into the interaction of Google's search queries and several aspects of international equity markets. Using a novel methodology for selecting words and a vector autoregressive modeling approach, we study whether the search queries of finance‐related words can have an impact on returns, volatility of returns and traded volume in four different English‐speaking countries. We identify several words whose search frequency is associated with changes in the dependent variables. In particular, we find that increases in search queries including the word stock predict increased volatility and decreased index returns over the next week. On top of that, we investigate the performance of a market‐timing strategy based on the search frequency of this word and benchmark it against random words from the Word‐Net database and a naive buy‐and‐hold strategy. The results of this empirical application are positive and particularly stronger during the global crisis of 2009. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

超导纳米线单光子探测技术进展

超导纳米线单光子探测技术自2001年出现以来,已经成为超导电子学领域的一个热点研究方向.作为一种新型的单光子探测技术,其具有探测效率高、暗计数低、时间抖动小、计数率高、响应频谱宽、电路简单等优势,综合性能在近红外波段已经明显超越传统的半导体探测技术,成为一种主流的单光子探测技术.本文从应用基础角度出发,对超导纳米线单光子探测器件的材料、器件工艺、性能、系统集成以及前沿应用等进行介绍,并对国际上该领域研究未来的发展趋势进行探讨.     

以计算思维为导向的大学“计算机基础”课程教学改革研究

计算思维是目前大学计算机基础教学研究的热点课题之一.为了解决大学"计算机基础"课程改革中计算思维能力培养"落地"难的问题,在深入剖析了一些似是而非观点的基础上,提出从案例引入思维,知识传授以思维为主线贯穿于教学过程,并且思维指导应用的教学模式.与传统的教学模式相比,该模式为教师提供了更好的教学思路和策略,为思维教学、创新教学提供了参考.     

喷射式坑槽修补机集料喷射效率研究

为提高喷射式坑槽修补机集料喷射效率,利用龙格库塔法求解了集料颗粒群的运动微分方程,分析了气流速度、管道内径、管道倾斜角、管道材料和集料空气体积比率对集料输送特性的影响.提出了适用于喷射式坑槽修补机气力输送系统工作效率的评价指标,在多变量条件下分析输送系统压降、功率消耗和工作效率的变化规律.得出了集料空气质量混合比、管道内径和气流速度等参数的设计匹配原则.实验对比结果表明:压降最小时的气流速度误差在10%以内,管道内径只需满足所输送的集料粒径和质量流率即可,高效的集料输送区间可选择集料空气质量混合比8~10,相应气流速度大小为20~25m/s.     

计算功能主义:普特南的早期论证及其后来的反驳

计算功能主义认为,精神状态和精神事件是一种依赖于特定的功能组织的功能状态,精神状态既可以在大脑的基础上实现,也可以根据具有生物学特征的输入和输出的参数和关系的计算过程来定义。普特南早期曾是这种理论的积极拥护者。他从心灵状态的可多重实现性出发批判了心脑同一论,并由此提出并论证了计算功能主义理论。然而,后来在思考意向内容的来源时,普特南发展出一种外在主义的意义理论,而这种外在主义很难和计算功能主义相调和。因此,普特南后期放弃了计算功能主义,并发展出了多种论证来反驳它。文章考察了普特南思想的转变过程及其对认知科学的批评。